World Cup and Memory Similarities

Are you playing the game or watching from the sidelines?

 

The football World Cup has kicked off, and it’s an exceptional one this year. Bigger, longer, with a lot of attention on ticket prices and politics. Sounds familiar? Well, we can’t help but see parallels to the memory market.


This World Cup sets a record as the largest tournament with 48 teams instead of the usual 32, lasting for 39 days instead of 29. A longer cycle, more strenuous – just what we see in the memory market: an unprecedented extended bull period, a super cycle unlike any cycle before. And market analysts don’t see an end to it soon.


Another parallel is the pricing of the stadium tickets. For the first time, ticket prices are “demand driven” or rather “dynamic”, just like memory prices. Demand sets the price for the memory and most manufacturers have now switched to delivery based pricing, meaning that the final price is quoted once the memory is ready for shipment. And this might be nothing like the price at the time of order.


But unlike the World Cup, you don’t have to watch from the sidelines or on TV, you can play in the memory market, if you have the right partner at your side. We are not saying it is easy, but with long term planning, qualifying as many alternatives as possible and opportunities for short-term buys, you can keep in the game.


That, however, requires a close relationship with your supplier, a business friendship, as we explain in our newsletter below.


Enjoy the read and reach out if you have any questions or want to discuss your supply situation.


What the Global Memory Market Reset means for you


In June, we presented at two industry events, providing insights into the dynamics of the semiconductor memory market. The message is what we’ve been delivering for the past months, in our webinars and in direct discussions with our customers. We update the figures, find new supporting materials, and tell the uncomfortable truth to the ones still in denial:


  • Supply will get worse before it gets better.
  • Prices will drop eventually, but not to the all-time low of 2024
  • DDR4 and DDR3 will become legacy niches, not recommended for new designs

Read more here.

Geopolitcs is rewriting memory sourcing

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